Verification ledger
Every claim that has been checked, what happened when it was checked, and what it rests on. Failures are listed first, because a ledger that leads with its confirmations is a brochure.
A claim recorded as contradicted or unsupported is not an accusation. It records that the available sources do not carry the claim as it is being repeated — which is a fact about the evidence, not about anyone’s honesty.
Contradicted — the sources disagree with the claim
The Walvis Bay fuel hub represents an investment of approximately $3 billion
One source attributes roughly $3bn to the Namibia project. Another states $20bn, but that figure is the construction cost of the Lagos refinery, which is a separate asset. The two are reported adjacently and are being conflated. Neither figure is sourced to a party to the transaction.
Checked · Trade press
A crypto-settled transfer from the EU into South Africa can lawfully be made between any two counterparties
It cannot. The EU leg requires an authorised CASP and full travel rule data on a third-country transfer; the South African leg requires both an FSP licence carrying crypto authorisation and FIC accountable institution registration. The corridor is licensed-to-licensed, and the number of parties on the South African side who satisfy both is smaller than the number who present as operating.
Checked · Law firm analysis; Compliance vendor analysis
EU travel rule obligations stop at the EU border
They do not. Reported enforcement includes administrative fines by a national competent authority for systematic travel rule failures on transfers to non-EU counterparties. A South African beneficiary does not remove the originating CASP obligation.
Checked · Compliance vendor analysis
The 12.7 percent cost is measured against a G20 target of 3 percent by 2027
The report compares it against 3 percent by 2030, not 2027, and attributes the target to the Sustainable Development Goals rather than the G20 Roadmap. Its words: "far exceeding the G20's target, set forth in the Sustainable Development Goals, of 3 percent by 2030." Both 3 percent targets exist in the wider literature — 2030 under SDG 10.c and 2027 under the G20 Roadmap — and the IMF's own web abstract for this report cites 2027, which is how the error entered. The report body governs.
Checked · IMF and World Bank
The report found that consumers lack independent price comparison tools that would help them find cheaper options and stimulate competition
No such finding appears. The report makes a recommendation, twice, that transparency "can be further enhanced to encourage greater competition among market players and help reduce pricing for end-users, for example through the provision of price comparison databases", and separately finds that "it is difficult for most end users (especially those in vulnerable groups) to properly understand and compare the characteristics of various options to send payments". The substance is close and the recommendation is arguably a stronger warrant than the absence claimed, but the sentence attributed to the IMF and World Bank is not theirs and must not be quoted as theirs.
Checked · IMF and World Bank
Unsupported — no source establishes it
The Nigeria to Namibia fuel corridor has an established regulatory basis
Three sources across ten months name no agreement, concession, licence or regulatory approval. Two state explicitly that formal terms are undisclosed and one records a Dangote spokesperson declining to comment. The corridor is being reported as commercially real while its obligation basis is unestablished in every public source.
Checked · Trade press
Delivery from Nigeria to Southern African markets will take roughly five days
A stated target attributed to a financing party, not an observed transit time. Nothing has moved on this route, so there is nothing to measure against.
Checked · Trade press
The EU-ZA obligation stack is evidenced by primary sources
Every obligation on this corridor is currently evidenced by tier 3 material: law firm and compliance-vendor analysis. The instruments are named and the analysis is consistent across independent sources, but no obligation has been read against the gazette, the regulation text or the regulator register. Recorded as owed, not as done.
Checked · Law firm analysis; Compliance vendor analysis
Open — not resolvable from what is available
A 2,000 km pipeline will carry fuel from the Dangote refinery to Southern Africa
One source describes a 2,000 km pipeline. The other two describe marine delivery into Walvis Bay storage followed by road haulage, and mention procurement of trucks. Lagos to Walvis Bay exceeds 2,000 km and the route is maritime, so a pipeline of that length cannot connect them. The claim may describe onward distribution rather than the trunk leg, or may be reported in error. Not resolvable from available sources.
Checked · Trade press
Partially confirmed — established, primary source not yet read
Storage capacity of at least 1.6 million barrels is planned at Walvis Bay
The figure is consistent across two independent sources and the Namibia Ports Authority confirms the plans exist. What is confirmed is a stated intention. Construction is described as not yet begun in the most detailed source.
Checked · Trade press
Sending money from South Africa to Zimbabwe cost 12.7 percent in early 2024
Confirmed as to the figure, corrected as to the period and the basis. The report states the cost "averaged a high 12.7 percent in the first quarter of 2024" — Q1 2024 specifically, not early 2024 loosely. The amount is not stated in the prose: it appears as the axis label of Figure 2, "Cost of Sending $200 (% of sent amount)", sourced to World Bank Remittance Prices Worldwide. So the figure is a $200 send and the citation is a chart, not a sentence.
Checked · IMF and World Bank
The report was published in November 2025 following an August 2024 mission
Two dates, both needed. The document itself is dated NOVEMBER 2024 on its cover and carries a 2025 IMF copyright; the IMF published it on its website on 5 November 2025. The mission visited Pretoria from 5 to 13 August 2024 and the report presents its assessment as of 10 September 2024. Citing only the 2025 date looks wrong to anyone holding the PDF; citing only 2024 misses a year of delay between assessment and publication.
Checked · IMF and World Bank
Confirmed — primary source read directly
Remittances are close to a tenth of Zimbabwe's GDP
The report states inward remittances accounted for 9.6 percent of Zimbabwean GDP in 2023, and that Zimbabwe received nearly half of all remittances sent from South Africa within SADC that year.
Checked · IMF and World Bank
Over half the South Africa to Zimbabwe remittance market moves through informal channels
The report states "over 50 percent of the market operates through informal channels", and attributes it to the financial exclusion of undocumented migrants and dependence on cash. An estimated 1.7 million Zimbabwean migrants live in South Africa, and money transfer operators believe the true number is significantly higher. Note the scope: this is the ZA-ZW corridor. The FinMark figure of roughly 70 percent already carried by the register is South Africa to SADC as a whole. The two are not interchangeable and must never be cited without their scope.
Checked · IMF and World Bank